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IPCC Report - Climate Change The UCAR Home Page Global Change Instruction Program - Modules Lewis Thomas Essay, The Worlds Biggest Membrane Atmospheric Optics Global Hurricane/Tropical Data from Unisys North-Western Hemisphere Water Vapor (Click on "loop12" for lapse-time motion.) NASA Blue Planet Online Meteorology Text Astronomy a Go Go! National Weather Information Most
Recent Weather Map from Unisys enhanced
Infrared Image from Unisys Radar Coded
Messages
for US and Regions from Unisys Nested
Grid Model Forecast to 60 Hours from Unisys Medium Range
Forecast to 8 days (Max. T & Probability of Precipitation) Home Page Links for
Weather Information at:
Local Weather Information The Last
25 Hours Weather Record for Major US Stations 60-Hour
Detailed Forecast for Major NWS Stations Detailed
7-day Forecast by Zip Code from Unisys Detailed
7-day Forecast by Zip Code or City from NWS Houston, Texas, Area The Past 25 Hours at IAH The Next 60 Hours at IAH 7-Day Forecast for Houston Rice University Weather Station
Rice
University
Flood
Alert Site Gold Hill, Colorado, Area 7-Day
Forecast for Gold Hill Area Weather
Observations from Elkstreet.com Weather
Observation from NCAR's Mesa Laboratory in Boulder
7.5-Day Detailed National Forecast The forecasts below are from the National Center for
Atmospheric Research, NCAR,
and are based upon model output from the Global Forecast System, GFS,
produced by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction, NCEP. Forecasts: 12, 18 & 24 hr Forecasts: 36, 48 & 60 hr Forecasts: 72, 96, 120, 144 & 168 hr Forecasts: 84, 108, 132, 156 & 180 hr |
Global
Warming Lecture (Work in progress; audio not yet included.) The slide show was developed using Keynote on a Macintosh then exported to PDF and PPT formats. (20.4 MB) Download as a PDF file. (7.3 MB) Download as a PowerPoint file. (4.9 MB) Tsunami A tsunami is a special type
of gravity wave. Gravity waves can occur in any fluid in which density
decreases with height. In the atmosphere density decreases with
altitude; thus we have atmospheric gravity waves in the stable layers
of the atmosphere. Oceans have constant density; however, at the
surface (ocean - air interface) the density decreases by approximately
a factor of 1000. This provides an excellent condition for gravity
waves. All ocean surface waves are gravity waves. The wavelength of an
ocean surface wave is the length between adjacent wave peaks. When the
water depth is greater than the wavelength the waves are ordinary or
deep-water
waves; when the water depth is smaller than the wave length then they
are shallow-water waves, and you
can get tsunamis. The average depth of the oceans is 3.8 km; thus the
wavelength of an ocean tsunami is many km. Over the open ocean the
height of a tsunami will be less than 1 m making them difficult to
detect. An important property of tsunamis is that the deeper the water
the faster they travel. As the tsunami approaches land the leading part
of the wave slows down while the following part catches up forming a
very large and destructive flooding wave.
The Moon - The Standstills The
Moon's orbit is inclined ~5.1º to the ecliptic (the plane
containing the Earth's orbit). The Earth's rotational axis has a angle
of 23.5º to the ecliptic. Owing to gravitational influences the
Moon's orbital tilt axis rotates with respect to the Earth's spin axis
with a period of 18.6 years. When aligned parallel the two axes add to
produce a Moon declination of 28.6º; this is the major standstill.
9.3 years later (half of 18.6 years) the Moon's orbital axis is
anti-parallel to the Earth's spin axis, and the Moon's declination is
18.4º; this is the minor standstill.
Hailstones – Tracing Their Development A short PDF paper on the development of baseball size hailstones. Download the PDF paper. AGU Spring 2006 Poster Paper Conceptual Modeling as Pedagogy Arthur Few1,2, Russanne Low2, Mary Marlino2 1 - Rice University 2 - Digital Library for Earth Science Education, DLESE University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, UCAR Abstract The teaching of
facts is often criticized because many facts tend to change with time,
they can be forgotten, and
because remembering facts does not train the mind to think or reason.
In contrast, explicit instruction
in the process of model building, whether physical, mathematical,
computer or conceptual, requires
thinking. It provides students with an extensible framework in which to
integrate concepts and build new
knowledge, setting the stage for course content mastery as well as
lifetime science learning. In conceptual
modeling students are taught to: (1) ask a question, (2) refine the
question, (3) format the problem, (4)
identify contributing components, (5) define a system with the central
problem, the components, and the connections
or relationships among all of the system’s parts by depicting the
system with a diagram, (6) identify
the information that the system will require to solve the problem, (7)
step through the system toward a
trial solution to the problem, (8) refine the components and
connections as required (add, delete , or combine),
(9) go back to 7 or reach your solution. In upper level classes the
conceptual system can be migrated
to a computer model using STELLA (http://www.iseesystems.com). This
will provide a rigorous test of
the conceptual models students have developed.
View the poster, a slide show of
the poster, and access the computer models.This paper provides examples of how modeling is employed as a pedagogic tool at several levels in the curriculum. The examples start with simple conceptional models with simple drawings of the problems for the lower levels; for the more advanced levels the problem is treated in greater detail and a formal system diagram is introduced; at the upper levels, the problem is solved using a computer. AGU Fall 2006 Oral Presentation Modeling in the Classroom: An Evolving Learning Tool Arthur Few1,2, Mary Marlino2, Rusanne Low2 1 - Rice University 2 - Digital Library for Earth Science Education, DLESE University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, UCAR Abstract Among the early
programs (early 1990s) focused on teaching Earth System Science were
the Global Change Instruction Program (GCIP) funded by NSF through UCAR
and the Earth System Science Education Program (ESSE) funded by NASA
through USRA. These two programs introduced modeling as a learning tool
from the beginning, and they provided workshops, demonstrations and
lectures for their participating universities. These programs were
aimed at university-level education.
Recently, classroom modeling is experiencing a revival of interest. Drs. John Snow and Arthur Few conducted two workshops on modeling at the ESSE21 meeting in Fairbanks, Alaska, in August 2005. The Digital Library for Earth System Education (DLESE) at http://www.dlese.org provides web access to STELLA models and tutorials, and UCAR’s Education and Outreach (EO) program holds workshops that include training in modeling. Modeling in the Classroom:An Evolving Learning Tool. The slide presentation is available as a PDF file. Download the STELLA Model of the Global Hydrological Cycle with Global Warming here (.zip). Other Earth system science models can be downloaded from the column to the right. AGU Spring 2007 Poster and Lecture Internet Lectures on Geophysical Modeling Arthur Few, Rice University few@rice.edu http://www.ruf.rice.edu/~few Abstract Advances in modeling
software and presentation software now provide the instructor with the
means to communicate over the Internet to a global student audience.
Modeling in the broadest sense has always been a touchstone tool in
geophysics ranging from a drawing of stratigraphy to a numerical
climate model. At the undergraduate level even simple models provide
insight in the behavior of geophysical systems. By coupling illustrated
lectures with hands-on computer models that can be downloaded as a
package from the Internet, the instructor can broadly support classroom
instruction.
Internet
Lectures on Geophysical Modeling, Poster (PDF)The software, (isee Player) for viewing and manipulating working STELLA models is a free download from isee systems http://www.iseesystems.com. Both Keynote (Macintosh) and PowerPoint (Windows) support adding an audio track to slides, so the instructor can discuss the content and interpretation of slide information. When the lecture on a geophysical process is coupled with a working model the student then gets a hands-on opportunity to explore the responses of the geophysical system as modeled. Examples of STELLA models and coupled lecture and model are available at http://www.ruf.rice.edu/~few. The following files have an audio track for each slide. Lecture in Keynote for Macintosh (zip) Lecture in QuickTime (zip) Lecture in PowerPoint (zip) |
STELLA
Models You
will need STELLA software to modify these
models. You may view them and run them with isee Player.
These files were compressed using Stuffit (.zip); they may be downloaded and opened with Stuffit Expander available free from http://www.stuffit.com. STELLA Tutorial
The STELLA file below is a short
tutorial on STELLA system components, objects, and tools. I use this as
an introductional lecture on STELLA Modeling.STELLA
Intro (.zip).
Energy Balance Models for the Earth These are the
instructions for building a series of three energy balance models for
the Earth.
Earth Energy Balance Model Part 1 (.zip). (This is essentially the Earth Effective Temperature used in the AGU Spring 2006 Poster.) Earth Energy Balance Model Part 2 (.zip). (This is essentially the Greenhouse Earth used in the AGU Spring 2006 Poster.) Earth Energy Balance Model Part 3 (.zip). (In this model we explore the Greenhouse Model when we double the atmospheric carbon dioxide.) Early Faint Sun Model (zip). Starting with the Energy Balance Model Part 1 above we add the ice-albedo feedback, which alters the albedo as the temperature changes. This model demonstrates very interesting behavior. See also the AGU Spring 2007 paper to the left. |