You can see something more about me under the faculty profiles in the Rice University Political Science Department website. You can also see my current vita (note: this is a .pdf document).
My collaboration with Devika Subramanian (Computer Science and Chris Bronk (Baker Institute) is documented at Predicting conflict and tracking terrorist networks using online news.
I also maintain webpages for the undergraduate courses I regularly teach (usually every year):
I am also fortunate to be a faculty associate at Jones College. While all the residential colleges at Rice are both special and unique, Jones is the best! JIBA!! (G-rated version: Jones Is Better than Anyone).
This is my children's worst nightmare.
One more thing, and this is important... if you don't like Scott Miller, you don't like rock and roll. And if you don't like rock and roll, well there's really not much hope for you.
I published a chapter called "Was Leo Durocher Right? Do Nice States Finish Last?" in Glenn Palmer (ed.). 2008. Causes and Consequences of International Conflict: Data, Methods and Theory. London, England. Routledge, pp. 165-185.
The file nicestate.dta is a Stata .dta file with the data used for Table 3 and the file nicestate.do will replicate the logit results displayed in Table 3.
Richard Eichenberg and I (with the assistance of Matthew Lebo) published a paper analyzing the factors that account for the approval ratings of President Bush. It appeared in the December, 2006 issue of the Journal of Conflict Resolution (volume 50, number 6, pp. 783-808). The .zip file warpres.zip contains the files needed to replicate the figures and analyses in the article. The zip archive contains the following files:
readme.txt - file containing this text. fpccc.dta - Stata data file with most of the data. frac88.dta - Stata data file with fractionally differenced data. charts.do - Stata .do file to produce figures in the manuscript. tables234.do - Stata .do file to produce results in Tables 2,3, and 4. appen.do - Stata .do file to produce results in the Appendix.
In October 2004, Devika Subramanian and I completed a paper for the James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy. Using events data, we trace the interactions of Saudi Arabia with China, Russia, and the United States from 1966 through 1999. One technique that we use in this paper is vector autoregression. In the paper we report only a subset of the coefficients from this analysis. The complete set of results is available as a .pdf file.
In July, 2004, Richard C. Eichenberg and I wrote a monograph on the impact of the war in Iraq on President Bush's job approval ratings. We also predict his approval on Iraq. This is published by The Foreign Policy Centre in London, England. We have also put together a website that contains supplementary materials, including the dataset and a complete listing of the results of the analysis.
We later expanded this research and it was published in 2006 in the Journal of Conflict Resolution as War President: The Approval Ratings of George W. Bush; see above for the data used in the article.
The August 2003 issue of the Journal of Conflict Resolution, Volume 47, 4 contains an article by Richard C. Eichenberg of Tufts University and myself that predicts support for defense spending, and changes for defense spending in five Western countries from about 1960 to the present. The zip file contains the following:
Appendix.doc - The full appendix from the paper. extratables.doc - Additional tables that were cut from the final version of the paper. figure1.xls - Figure 1, but with different colors for each country. tables.do - Stata .do file to reproduce Tables 1 and 2 in the paper. repdef.dta - Stata7 (regular version) file with the data.and a readme file with this list. By the way, the order of the authors is not simply alphabetical. Ike was the driving force behind this paper. Thanks Ike for letting me be part of this.
Sean Bolks and I researched the empirical validity of Samuel Huntington's "Clash of Civilizations" conjecture. Our work was published in 2003 in Conflict Management and Peace Science, volume 20, issue 2. The .zip archive with the files needed to replicate our work is large (over 3 MB). Please e-mail me and I will make it available to you.
Devika Subramanian of Rice's Computer Science Department and I are engaged in a project to both predict and understand the outbreak of serious international conflict. Some of our research has been funded by the National Science Foundation's Information Technology Research Initiative. Our research (including a link to the text of the proposal) is described on a page at Rice's Department of Computer Science.
In October 2002, I had the opportunity to present the plan for our research at a workshop "Computer-Aided Methods for International Conflict Resolution" held at the Austrian Research Institute for Artificial Intelligence, Vienna, Austria. You can see the position paper that I presented at that conference [note: this is a pdf document; you need Adobe Acrobat to read it]. This paper has since been published as:
Subramanian, Devika and Richard J. Stoll. 2006. Events, Patterns, and Analysis. In Robert Trappl (ed.) Programming for Peace: Computer-Aided Methods for International Conflict Resolution and Prevention . New York: Springer, pp. 145-160.
Bernadette Jungblut of the University of Central Florida and I wrote an article called "The Liberal Peace and Conflictive Interactions: The Onset of Militarized Interstate Disputes, 1950-78." It was published in the Journal of Peace Research, volume 39, issue 5 (September 2002). Here is a .zip file that contains the appendices to the paper, the results mentioned in footnote 19, but not included in the paper, a couple of Stata .do files to read the dataset, and a copy of the Stata .dta file. The file is almost 6 MB, so if you are downloading over a dial-up connection, it will take a while.
I was one of 12 PIs involved in updating the Correlates of War Project Militarized Interstate Dispute dataset. The previous version (2.1) covered the years 1816-1992. The new version (3.01) extended the dataset to cover the time period 1993-2001. This version can be downloaded from The Correlates of War 2 website.
Sean Bolks and I wrote an article called "The Arms Acquisition Process: The Effect of Internal and External Constraints on Arms Race Dynamics." It was published in the Journal of Conflict Resolution, volume 44, number 5 (October 2000). Here is a Stata .do file, and the Stata .dta file for Table 1 in the paper. Here is a Stata .do file, and the Stata .dta file for Table 2 in the paper.
I published an article called "The Russians are Coming! A Computer Simulation" in Armed Forces and Society, voume 16, number 2 (Winter 1990). Below are links to various files related to the simulation used in that article.
This describes the parameters that are used to run EARTH.
